Sitemap - 2024 - Paulsen Perspectives

A recent Podcast for the New Year!

Evidence of an Economic Slowdown Broadens

A Quickie on Fed Easing with Rising Inflation?

Economy to Slow & Recession Fears to Return?

When Main Street Speaks … Investors Should Listen

The BIG Untapped Asset -- Confidence

Pockets of Pessimism

The Federal Government Deficit is Huge, So Buy Stocks!

Post-Holiday Monday Musings

Video Interview with Excess Returns

The 60/40 Portfolio's 4% Trigger

Renewed Disinflation Likely in 2025

Bond Yields are Too HIGH!

Cyclicals until Year-End and then Defensives?

Election Certainty Brings Economic Policy UNCERTAINTY

A Trump Target?

It’s a Good Time to Win the White House

Yield Interruptus

Are International Stocks an Opportunity or a Chronic Loser?

A SPOOKY Tech Story?

A Bull Market Check-up

Laisse-Faire Economic Policies to the Rescue

A Few Random Thoughts …

Why No Post-Pandemic Confidence Recovery?

The Stock Market TUSH PUSH

A Higher E and PE?

A Chart Correction

A Few Potential Investment Tilts

A Soft Landing is a Powerfully Positive Force for the Stock Market

The Everything Market

It’s Different This Time! (Where have I heard that before?)

Some Shorts …

Confidence Restoration!

Cyclicals or Defensives … Or Both?

Some Thoughts on Recession Risks

A Few Thoughts for the Weekend …

The Tortoise & the Hare – An Update

Gold to Lose its Glitter?

Ain’t Freedom Great!

A Few Market & Economic Quickies

Please, No Middling Profits!

Is Valuation Losing its Value?

A Fed-Induced Bull Market Restart?

Random Revelations

Can Bad Demographics Be Offset by New-Era Investments?

Basking in the Calm Embrace of Protective Pessimism

MS + BY = Bull Restart!

Unemployment, Recession, Soft-Landing, and the Stock Market. A Few Comments …

Bond Yields Feeling that Gravitational Pull

A Mag 7 Stock Market Calamity OR the Start of another Bull Market Leg?

Calendar Dread

Will the Recent Mag7 Collapse Incite a Market-Wide Bear?

Unwinding Concentration and Stimulating Dormancy

Downward Pressure Building for Bond Yields

A ‘Back to the Future’ Replay for this Bull?

A ‘Back to the Future’ Replay for this Bull?

Sour Economic Surprises are Sweet for SMALLS!

This & That …

What does Economic Policy Normalization imply for the Stock Market?

Goldilocks and the Three Bulls ... It’s No Fairy Tale

Technology Stocks and Laborers are Bffs

Has S&P 500 concentration actually reduced stock market vulnerability?

Is Good News Good or is Bad News Good?

The Walmart Recession Signal

Economic Diversity is a Soft Landing’s Best Friend

The Federal Reserve needs to take a BREADTH

10-Year Treasury Yield is Too High

The Three-Horned Bull!

Odds & Ends … Mostly Odds!

A Correction to Chart 3 in This morning's Post

Investors can only hope the Fed keeps stirring monetary uncertainty

A Different View of Valuation

Bulls Should Thank Businesses for Investing in our Superior Laborers

“Recession-casting” is Broken!

What Does Large-Cap Concentration Imply About Future Returns?

An Era of Rising Monetary Productivity?

Inflation is Losing Its Foundation

A Brief Comment on the Jobs Market

Disinflation Driving Growth Despite Inflation Fears

Inflation Lacks Policy Fuel

Ain’t Pessimism Great!

A Bull Market Check-Up

Why is Gold Acting Like a Tech Stock?

Some Pictorial Quickies

The 5% Trigger for Equity Allocation

With inflation fears again spiraling, it’s time to seek some advice from the Yellow Metal and Dr. Copper

When things are this ‘Out of Whack’, Investors should take a Whack!

A disinflationary U.S. economy headed for disinflationary rate cuts?

Small Cap Stocks have not had their traditional Bull Market POP?

A Lurking Recession Needs Vulnerabilities

Bulls take note … Defense is Expensive

The Fed recently made history … TWICE!

If the Fed is finally set to ease, for stock investors, the unemployment rate takes center stage

The Stock Market’s Unemployment Rate is Near a Record High

Why is the Fed so Worried about Inflation?

Don’t Miss this Opportunity … A Pessimistic Productivity Boom!

The Fed was Late, so the Yield Curve Signal is Taint!

A Market Bubble?

When will Small Caps Outperform? Follow the Money!

What does the current “Confidence GAP” imply about the Stock Market?

The Fed can’t decide what to do, but in the midst of a major liquidity restoration cycle, investors shouldn’t wait.

Maybe this is why the Fed hasn't shut down the economy?

The Predictive POWER of Disinflation

Coming soon